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February 23, 2026

Lower Rates and Rising Listings: Seattle Home Buyers Remain Cautious

Although mortage rates are easing and prices are softening in some regions, Seattle’s homeowners are showing continued caution. New listings have increased compared to a
Lower rates

Lower rates

Although lower rates are easing and prices are softening in some regions, Seattle’s homeowners are showing continued caution. New listings have increased compared to a year ago, and borrowing costs have moved lower, but sales activity suggests many prospective buyers remain hesitant to commit in an uncertain economic climate. 

According to data from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service, the start of the year brought a modest increase in inventory. In January, King County recorded more than 1,850 new single-family home listings, representing an increase of nearly 9% from the same month in the previous year. The additional supply provided some relief in a market that has been defined for years by tight inventory and rising prices.  

Lower Rates

Home values showed slight declines or modest adjustments across several counties. The median single-family home price in both Seattle and the broader King County market edged down from a year earlier to about $850,000. Neighboring counties saw more notable price shifts. Snohomish County’s median price fell more than 7% to approximately $715,000, while Pierce County recorded a smaller decline of about 1.7%, bringing the median to $560,000. Kitsap County was the exception, with prices rising nearly 3% to about $565,000.  

The combination of modest price reductions and lower rates has improved affordability on paper, but the changes have not been enough to drive a major surge in buyer activity. Thirty-year mortgage rates, which averaged around 6.6% in 2025, fell to roughly 6.1% in January, the lowest monthly average since late 2022. Even so, borrowing costs remain significantly higher than the levels seen earlier in the decade, and that continues to influence buyer behavior.  

Economic uncertainty has also played a role. Layoffs in the technology sector and concerns about job stability have contributed to a more cautious outlook among many would-be buyers. As a result, the gap between the number of homes listed and the number of completed sales remains wider than typical for the region.  

Closed sales declined across the four-county area in January. King County saw a drop of nearly 4% compared with the previous year, while Snohomish County experienced a much sharper decline of about 24%. Pierce County reported a 3% decrease, and Kitsap County saw an 11% drop in closed transactions. 

Price adjustments were especially visible in some of the region’s most expensive submarkets. On the Eastside, which includes high-cost communities east of Seattle, the median sale price fell roughly 16% year over year to about $1.435 million. Even with the decline, monthly payments for homes at that price level remain out of reach for many households, limiting the number of qualified buyers.  

The Overall Picture

The overall picture suggests that a rise in listings, combined with cautious demand, has put downward pressure on some prices. However, the market remains highly segmented. Certain neighborhoods and property types continue to attract strong interest, while others face longer marketing times and more frequent price reductions.  

Single-family homes in desirable areas are still drawing attention from motivated buyers. Properties that are well-maintained, properly priced, and located in sought-after neighborhoods often receive multiple offers shortly after hitting the market. Some sellers who listed early in the year reported quick transactions at or slightly above the asking price, indicating that demand has not disappeared entirely.  

Real estate professionals across the region say the start of the year typically brings a psychological reset in buyer and seller activity. After a slower period in late 2025, January showed signs of renewed interest, particularly for detached homes. Some agents reported a noticeable increase in open-house traffic and new listings from homeowners who had previously delayed selling because of lower rates.  

The so-called “lock-in effect” remains a factor. Many homeowners who secured mortgages at significantly lower rates earlier in the decade have been reluctant to sell and take on a new loan at a higher rate. As lower rates ease, some of those owners are beginning to consider listing their homes, which may gradually increase supply throughout the year.  

Despite these signs of activity, not all segments of the market are performing equally. Condominiums and townhomes continue to face softer demand compared with single-family houses. Buyers appear more cautious about purchasing attached housing, particularly in buildings where association fees are rising or where appreciation has slowed.  

In King County, new condo listings rose about 2% year over year in January. However, closed sales fell 14%, and the median sale price dropped 16% to just over $500,000. In the city of Seattle, where most of the county’s condo inventory is located, listings climbed roughly 13% from a year earlier. Median prices in the city declined more than 19% to around $557,000. 

The Eastside condo market showed a different pattern. New listings were down about 11% from a year earlier, but older units remained on the market longer, contributing to a nearly 15% decline in the median sale price to approximately $628,000.  

 

A Weakness in the Condo Market

The relative weakness in the condo sector is partly tied to comparisons with the rental market. For many prospective buyers, the cost difference between renting an apartment and purchasing a similar condo unit remains significant. Rising homeowners association fees, maintenance costs, and slower appreciation have made some buyers more inclined to continue renting while saving for a single-family home.  

At the start of the year, the Seattle-area housing market reflects a mix of improving conditions and lingering caution. More inventory and slightly lower rates have created better opportunities for buyers than in recent years. However, economic uncertainty and still-elevated borrowing costs continue to limit demand.  

In the coming months, market activity will likely depend on the direction of lower rates, employment trends, and the pace at which additional listings enter the market. At present, the region appears to be in a transitional phase, with selective competition for certain homes and softer conditions for others. 

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Kameron Kang, CEO of homebuyerwallet.com

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